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REBEL CHEESE · AUGUST 2026 · ROSEWATER GROWTH · PERCENTAGE PLAYBOOK v2

Creative Demand
Model.

A floor of 150 launched ads, produced internally. The number that matters is the mix.

READ ME FIRST

150 is a floor, not a ceiling. Every target below is a % of total output — whatever ships (floor + vendor commits), hold the proportions.

Output floor
150 LAUNCHED ADS · SET BY MAX · INTERNAL
On top
10X ROAS ~30 · KRAVE ~20 (SUGGESTED)
Sources
MOTION 90D · SUPERMETRICS 13-MO · MAX'S NOTES
Executive Summary

The mix, in three numbers.

Every ad is a Moment (built for a dated window, retired when it closes) or it's Evergreen (always-on against a persona's durable pain). August triples output, holds the house split, and bakes in Max's directives: congruent ad→PDP routing, vegan-up-front clarity, and a Shark Tank UVP rework.

Moments vs Evergreen
25% / 75%
38 moment, 112 evergreen at the floor. Fromagier drop (live) + Summer Send-Off + the Birthday relaunch.
Static vs Video
58% / 31%
Statics lead. Image family earned 1.82x vs 1.35x for video on near-equal spend. Carousel 7% + GIF 4% complete the image family at 69%.
Unaware share
18%
Doubled, per Max — broad reach in the winning statics formats, with 'vegan, not real cheese' said up front so every click is qualified.

The big bet for August

Scale the proven engine 3x, and aim it at named humans. July shipped 30 ads that ran 1.76x with 15 new winners — the machine works, it's just been underfed. August floors at 150 internal ads, adds ~50 vendor ads on top, routes every ad to the product page for its set, and spends the new volume on product-proof statics (2.37x) instead of vague celebrity video (0.92x).

Creative Volume · 2026 Run-Rate

Volume this year — and the August floor.

Unique ads launched per month (distinct ad names with spend, Meta). The testing engine peaked in April–May, then slipped two straight months — July shipped 30. August's 150 floor is a deliberate regime change, not a run-rate extrapolation. All figures are launched ads, same unit across the chart.

Apr–Jul avg launched
48/mo
The old run-rate. Best month ever: 62 (May).
July hit-rate
15winners
From only 30 launches at 1.76x. A 50% winner rate — volume, not quality, is the binding constraint.
August floor
150
Set by Max — internal production. ~2.4x the best month ever; 10x ROAS + Krave stack toward ~200.

The read

This floor is a capacity bet, not a trend line — internal believes it can produce ~150, so the model plans for it. The risk isn't creative quality (July's cohort proves the hit-rate); it's mix discipline at speed. That's what this deck is for: at 5 ads a day, the percentages are the only thing standing between a system and a spray.

† AUG = the 150 floor (month in flight — 5 launched through Aug 3, not shown). Spend line = Meta $K.

The Spine · How we cut the month

Every ad is a Moment or it's Evergreen.

The first decision on any brief. A Moment ad is built for a dated window and retired when it closes. An Evergreen ad runs always-on against a persona's durable pain. The split is the target proportion of total output.

● Moments · offer-driven
25% of output
≈38 of 150 ads. The Strawberry Fromagier drop (live), the Summer Send-Off window, and the Birthday Angle relaunch.
● Evergreen · persona-driven
75% of output
≈112 of 150 ads. Always-on against the five persona lanes: dairy-free pain, skeptic proof, vegan identity, entertaining, and the subscriber base.
◂ MOMENTS 25%EVERGREEN 75% ▸

The rule for any brief

If a brief can't name the dated offer it's for, it's Evergreen — and it should lead with a persona pain, not a discount. Promo creative runs 1.89x here, which is exactly why the cap matters: an account that lives on offers collapses when the sale ends. Rebel's evergreen product-proof already out-earns it (2.37x statics) — protect that engine, especially at 150-ad speed.

Moments · Mapped to the August calendar

The three windows — and their share.

Each window's share of the ~38 moment ads, weighted to revenue impact. The Fromagier drop is already live; the Send-Off window and Birthday dates are assumed — confirm against the calendar.

Window · what's in it% of momentsIMG / VID
1August Fromagier DropFLAGSHIPAug 1–31 · live. Strawberry Basil Fromage reveal — already launched. Complete the kit: drop static (live), drop video, lineup carousel, and the last-call RMK for the final week (the 5.35x pattern from July).40%≈15 ADS11 / 4
2Summer Send-OffAug 18–31 *assumed*. The summer angle with an expiry date: last boards of the season, cookout tables — smoked cheddar on the burger, pimento on the side — close-out energy. Smokehouse Sizzle (2.87x) is the template — flavor-hero statics with urgency, not discounts (unless the calendar says otherwise).40%≈15 ADS10 / 5
3Birthday Angle RelaunchAug 11–31. Re-briefed birthday lane per Max: gifting-experience frame, clear offer, 'the cheese cake they'll actually remember.' Small, disposable batch — if the re-brief can't beat 1.3x it goes back on the shelf.20%≈8 ADS6 / 2
Σ All Moments100% ≈38 ADS27 / 11

Production scheduling read

The Fromagier kit completes first — the drop is live but the video, lineup carousel and last-call (the 5.35x pattern) aren't built yet. Send-Off assets need approval by Aug 15 for an Aug 18 open. Birthday is the low-pressure lane: small batch, mid-month, and it has to out-run its 0.85–1.3x history to earn a September slot.

View 1 of 3 · Persona Mix

Persona % split — your output target.

The share of total output each lane should get. Ad counts (at the 150 floor) shown for reference — vendor ads on top follow the same percentages. Gold = lean-in / moment lanes. Lanes are derived from Motion audience tags + demographics — no client persona research exists yet, so treat these as v1 pending research and VOC.

Persona / lane% of outputShare# at 150
The Dairy-Free FoodieLEAN IN20%
30 ads
The Cheese-Loving SkepticNORMALIZED16%
24 ads
The Committed VeganNORMALIZED13%
20 ads
The Entertainer & Gift GiverLEAN IN13%
19 ads
The Rebel RegularLEAN IN13%
19 ads
August Fromagier DropMOMENT10%
15 ads
Summer Send-OffMOMENT10%
15 ads
Birthday AngleMOMENT5%
8 ads
Total100%150 floor
Persona Rationale · the "why" sheet

Why each lane earns its share.

Each % is anchored to Motion 90-day performance, Max's notes, and the August calendar. One structural note: 32.5% of current spend is tagged "Broad" at 1.95x — targeting can stay broad, but every brief now names the human it's for. This is the brief-level "why" for the creative team and vendors.

The Dairy-Free FoodieLEAN IN
20%
30 ADS

The biggest durable lane: people who dropped dairy for their gut, their skin, or their kid — and miss real cheese every day. Motion's Dairy-Free Consumers + Health-Conscious tags carry ~16% of 90d spend with loud winners inside (the 'Mozzarella Pizza' recipe ad 4.07x, Brie Unboxing 1.56x — ad names, not brand positioning: Rebel sells artisan wheels and wedges). August adds the Starter Kit concept — a first-timer bundle priced off the AOV histogram — as this lane's front door.

TAGS ~16% of spend · Mozz Pizza 4.07x · Starter Kit = the on-ramp
The Cheese-Loving SkepticNORMALIZED
16%
24 ADS

The flexitarian who loves dairy cheese and doubts vegan cheese can be good. Two directives from Max shape this lane: iterate on the Shark Tank ads with a much clearer unique value proposition (the footage stays, the vague authority framing goes — $53K at 0.92x proves the current cut doesn't work), and lead with question-hook taste-proof, which runs 4.43x vs Authority's 0.86x.

Dairy Cheese Lovers 10.4% @ 0.95x · Shark Tank UVP rework · Question 4.43x
The Committed VeganNORMALIZED
13%
20 ADS

The core identity buyer — already convinced on ethics, shopping on craft and flavor. Vegans tag: 11.5% of spend at 1.51x, with the account's single best ad living here (Mozzarella Drop, 4.7x). Hold share; keep feeding drop-news and artisan-craft angles.

Vegans 11.5% @ 1.51x · Mozzarella Drop 4.7x
The Entertainer & Gift GiverLEAN IN
13%
19 ADS

Boards, boxes and occasions — Entertainers ran 1.86x and every dated box converts (Memorial Day 2.23x, July 4th 1.61x). August ships Max's Build-Your-Own-Board concept — an interactive pick-your-cheeses experience, natively suited to carousel — and seeds Q4 gifting early.

Entertainers 1.86x · boxes 1.6–2.2x in windows · BYO Board concept
The Rebel RegularLEAN IN
13%
19 ADS

Returning customers and Fromagier subscribers — 10.7% of spend at 2.00x, the most efficient persona tag in the account. The 'Mozzarella Available Solo' playbook (2.2–3.0x) shows what works: product-news statics that treat the base like insiders.

Returning Customers 10.7% @ 2.00x · Mozz Solo statics 2.2–3.0x
August Fromagier DropMOMENT
10%
15 ADS

The monthly subscription-box drop — already live with the Strawberry Basil Fromage creative. Proven machine: July's drop static carried $26.7K at 1.51x and last-call creative ran 5.35x. Full kit: drop static, drop video, lineup carousel, last-call RMK.

July drop static $26.7K @ 1.51x · Last-call RMK 5.35x · live now
Summer Send-OffMOMENT
10%
15 ADS

Max's summer angle, given a dated frame: last-of-summer boards, cookout tables (smoked cheddar + pimento), and a late-August close-out window (assumed — confirm dates). Summer-tagged creative ran 1.95x and the Smokehouse Summer Sizzle static is the account's #2 winner at 2.87x.

Summer seasonality 1.95x · Summer Sizzle 2.87x · window assumed
Birthday AngleMOMENT
5%
8 ADS

Max's call to rebuild the birthday lane. The concept has real spend history ($15K+) but weak returns (0.85–1.3x) — the angle is right (there's always a birthday), the execution isn't. Re-brief with the gifting-experience frame + a clear offer, and treat 'birthday' as the hook, not the product.

Birthday seasonality 0.85x on $15K · right angle, wrong execution
Micro-Personas · Four per lane

Twenty micro-personas to build against.

The specific humans inside each evergreen lane — briefing lenses, not budget lines. Micro-personas share their parent lane's ad count; they're how the % gets spent. Derived from Motion audience/angle tags, the demographic read (women 35–65+ ≈ 70% of spend), and Rebel's own positioning (award-winning cultured cashew cheese · deli + gifting + Fromagier subscription). Validate against VOC when the review export lands.

The Dairy-Free Foodie · parent lane 30 ads
The Lactose-Intolerant Cook
GUT-DRIVEN · COOKS AT HOME

Quit dairy for their stomach, not their values. Recipe-proof frames — caprese with fresh mozzarella, baked brie, creamy pasta — 'your gut called, dinner's back.'

▸ Recipe statics + UGC demo
The Dairy-Allergy Parent
BUYS FOR THE KID · LABEL READER

The household shopper making family food safe. Factual allergen clarity, family cheese-board-night payoff. No safety claims — just clean labels shown plainly.

▸ Family-table statics
The Skin & Hormone Resetter
CUT DAIRY FOR SKIN/HEALTH

Dropped dairy on a dermatologist's or influencer's advice and misses cheese most at 9pm. 'You gave up dairy, not joy' framing.

▸ Before-the-craving UGC
The Plant-Curious Dieter
TEMPORARY DAIRY BREAK

Doing a reset month; needs a bridge that doesn't feel like sacrifice. Starter Kit is literally built for them — priced off the AOV histogram.

▸ Starter Kit offer statics
The Cheese-Loving Skeptic · parent lane 24 ads
The Burned-Before Buyer
TRIED GROCERY SHREDS ONCE

Their whole objection is a bad 2019 shred. 'This isn't the vegan cheese you tried' — cultured, cave-aged, cut from a wheel. Contrast is the hook.

▸ Side-by-side statics
The Foodie Contrarian
WILL TRY ANYTHING ARTISAN

Chases craft — cave-aged, cultured, award-winning beats 'vegan' for them. Lead with the deli case, not the diet.

▸ Artisan craft video
The Shark Tank Viewer
SAW THE EPISODE · NEEDS THE UVP

Warm from TV but the current cut wastes it (0.92x). Re-cut around one sharp claim per version — the UVP rework lane.

▸ Re-hooked celebrity cuts
The Partner of a Vegan
SHOPS FOR THE HOUSEHOLD

Not vegan, lives with one. It has to pass *their* palate at the shared table. 'One board you'll both fight over.'

▸ Couple taste-test UGC
The Committed Vegan · parent lane 20 ads
The Long-Term Vegan
YEARS IN · MISSES BRIE

Nostalgia is the lever: the cheeses they said goodbye to, back. 'Some people give up cheese. You found better cheese.'

▸ Nostalgia product statics
The New Vegan
RECENTLY SWITCHED · PEAK CRAVING

Highest cheese-missing pain in the market. Drop-news and 'first brie in months' unboxing emotion.

▸ Unboxing UGC
The Vegan Foodie Poster
POSTS BOARDS · DROP CULTURE

Builds boards for the feed; limited drops are content. Mozzarella Drop (4.7x) proved this lane — keep feeding drop announcements.

▸ Drop-announce video
The Ethical Gifter
VEGAN-TO-VEGAN GIFTING

Sends boxes to vegan friends who never get good food gifts. Gifting Experience angle, minus the birthday clutter.

▸ Gift-box statics
The Entertainer & Gift Giver · parent lane 19 ads
The Board Builder
HOSTS · CHARCUTERIE NIGHTS

The hostess whose boards are her signature. Build-Your-Own-Board is hers — interactive pick-your-six, carousel-native.

▸ BYO Board carousel
The Mixed-Table Host
VEGANS + OMNIVORES AT ONE TABLE

Solves the real dinner-party problem: one board everyone can eat. 'Nobody asks which side is theirs.'

▸ Table-scene statics
The Long-Distance Gifter
SHIPS LOVE IN A BOX

Sends birthdays and holidays by mail — the Birthday Angle's best audience. Gifting frame + arrival-moment proof.

▸ Unboxing + gift statics
The Occasion Buyer
SHOWERS · OFFICE · PARTIES

Orders for groups and wants it effortless and impressive. Boxes and boards sized for a crowd; seeds Q4 corporate gifting.

▸ Spread statics + carousel
The Rebel Regular · parent lane 19 ads
The Fromagier Subscriber
MONTHLY DROP COLLECTOR

Opens the box like a magazine. Strawberry Basil Fromage reveal, next-month teasers, subscriber-first language.

▸ Drop kit (all formats)
The Restock Loyalist
REORDERS THE SAME HEROES

Buys mozzarella on repeat. 'Available solo' product-news statics (2.2–3.0x) are literally their lane.

▸ Product-news statics
The Flavor Completionist
BUYS EVERY LIMITED RUN

Fear of missing a flavor is the motor. Last-call and 'back for August only' urgency — the 5.35x RMK pattern.

▸ Last-call statics + GIF
The Almost-Subscriber
REPEAT BUYER · NOT YET MONTHLY

Two-plus orders, no subscription. The conversion math static: 'your last 3 orders vs the Fromagier price.'

▸ Subscribe-math statics

How to brief with these

Every brief names a lane and a micro-persona. "Skeptic × Burned-Before Buyer × static" is a complete creative assignment — the persona sets the pain, the micro-persona sets the language, the matrix sets the format. Vendors: pick micro-personas nobody is covering yet before doubling up.

View 2 of 3 · Awareness Mix · Recommended Split

Recommended awareness split for August.

The % of output aimed at each funnel stage, with the 90-day ROAS (mapped from Motion messaging themes + hooks). Unaware doubles to 18% per Max — the extra reach ships in the suggested statics formats, wearing the vegan label up front.

18%
Unaware
17%
Problem Aware
25%
Solution Aware
28%
Product Aware
12%
Most Aware
Awareness stageAug %90d ROASVerdictThe recommendation, and why
Unaware18%1.37xbuild — per MaxDeliberately increased: broad 'cheese that happens to be vegan' reach in the suggested statics formats — and per Max's directive, the creative says vegan up front ('not real cheese') so the click is qualified before the PDP.
Problem Aware17%1.09xbuild'You miss cheese' — the dairy-free pain lane. Ran 0.99x on one heavy UGC ad; the fix is sharper hooks, not less share. The Dairy-Free Foodie + Starter Kit live here.
Solution Aware25%1.60xholdTaste-proof: No Compromise 1.74x + Superior Plant-Based Alternative 1.49x. The Skeptic conversion layer — question hooks, real reactions, and the reworked Shark Tank UVP.
Product Aware28%2.10xlean inThe engine: product/flavor statics (2.37x as a format, Specific Flavor 2.87x, Mozz Solo 3.0x). Product news, flavors, drops — each ad congruent to its set's product page.
Most Aware12%1.89xlean (offer)Offers + last-calls to the base: Promo theme 1.89x, Returning Customers 2.00x. Fromagier last-calls and the Send-Off window live here.

The honest caveat

Format signals awareness regardless of the theme tag — a great baked-brie shot functionally meets a cold viewer. Use these percentages to brief the balance of the funnel, not as a hard contract on every ad. Unaware's 1.37x is the current broad-lifestyle number; the vegan-up-front change is designed to raise it by qualifying the click before the PDP.

View 3 of 3 · What's Working · Format by Spend

What's working — and what to make more of.

Spend share and ROAS are trailing-90d Motion data. The August Target % is what each format's share of output should be. cyan = video · rose = image. The increased Unaware share ships in these suggested formats — statics-first.

Format90d spend shareROASAug targetVerdict
Product Image with Text img
2.37x32%The account's best format — Mozz Solo 3.0x, Smokehouse 2.87x. Make more
Lifestyle Image with Text img
1.38x26%The workhorse; offer banners live here. Hold
UGC Video vid
1.53x24%Question-hook recipe UGC is the video engine — Mozz Drop 4.7x, Mozz Pizza 4.07x. Hold, raise the hook bar
High Production Video vid
1.15x7%$53K of celebrity spend at 0.92x drags it. Trim; rework the UVP
Carousel img
7%Untested: Build-Your-Own-Board, flavor lineups, Fromagier reveals. Test
GIF / Motion img
0.60x4%Tiny sample so far; dated-offer countdowns are the natural job. Probe
IMAGE family51% spend · 1.82xstrong→ 69%Out-earning video → rebalance up
VIDEO family49% spend · 1.35xmixed→ 31%Dragged by celebrity spend → trim, rework the UVP

The one-line read for the team

Product statics return 2.37x while high-production video returns 1.15x — so August ships 58% statics and re-cuts the celebrity footage around a sharper UVP instead of buying more of it. Video's job narrows to what it's proven at: question-hook food-proof, where it runs 4x+.

The Matrix · Where the three views connect

Format mix per persona — the cheatsheet.

Pick a row and a column to get a brief. Counts at the 150 floor; vendor ads scale the same proportions. Color intensity = priority weight within the row.

Persona / lanePrimary awarenessStaticVideoCarouselGIFTotal
The Dairy-Free FoodieLEANProblem / Unaware17103·30
The Cheese-Loving SkepticNORMSolution Aware148·224
The Committed VeganNORMProduct / Most128··20
The Entertainer & Gift GiverLEANUnaware / Product1162·19
The Rebel RegularLEANMost Aware1241219
August Fromagier DropMOMENTProduct / Most843·15
Summer Send-OffMOMENTUnaware / Product851115
Birthday AngleMOMENTProduct Aware52·18
Total · 150 floorStatic 58% · Video 31% · Caro 7% · GIF 4%8747106150

How to use it

"Dairy-Free Foodie × Static × 17" means seventeen product-proof statics aimed at the dairy-quitter — caprese and baked-brie shots, recipe frames, Starter Kit launches — each clicking through to the product page for its set. The companion Creative Plan workbook breaks every cell into named concepts with briefs.

Vendor Playbook · How to use this deck

Your lane, and how to forecast from it.

Internal owns the 150 floor; 10x ROAS and Krave stack on top. 1) Find your card 2) read the mix 3) multiply by your committed volume 4) split across the persona % (View 1). Vendor counts are suggested — confirm commitments with each team.

Internal Rebel Cheese Creative
THE FLOOR · 150 ADS
The engine that built everything to date — 90d blended 1.73x pixel, 15 new winners from July's 30 launches
YOUR MIX (OF 150)

The full playbook: product/flavor statics ~35% · offer + moment kits ~25% · question-hook UGC edits ~20% · lifestyle/board statics ~10% · carousel + GIF tests ~10%.

POINT IT AT

The proven skeletons at scale: Mozz-Solo product news (2.2–3.0x), Smokehouse-style flavor heroes (2.87x), question-hook food-proof video (4x+). One variant per persona lane, every ad congruent to the product page for its set — and every unaware-facing ad says vegan up front.

10x ROAS
VENDOR · SUGGESTED 30 ADS
Suggested commitment on top of the floor — confirm the count with the 10x team
YOUR MIX (OF 30)

Statics ~70% (Dairy-Free Foodie, Skeptic, Rebel Regular lanes) · video ~30% (question-hook taste-proof).

POINT IT AT

The template lanes with the deepest proof: one static variant per sub-angle (wedge heroes, 'not real cheese' clarity frames, solo-product news). Ship under the vendor naming convention from day one so September's model can grade the work.

Krave
VENDOR · SUGGESTED 20 ADS
The audition lane — suggested commitment, no Rebel Cheese track record yet
YOUR MIX (OF 20)

Starter Kit launch statics ~50% · Skeptic taste-test video ~30% · Build-Your-Own-Board carousel ~20%.

POINT IT AT

The new concepts where fresh eyes help most: the Starter Kit (first-timer bundle, priced off the AOV histogram) and BYO Board. Narrow, template-backed, graded Sep 1 — earn share in September.

Suggested Forecast · By Vendor

The August forecast by vendor.

A forward plan, not a report card: everything shipped to date reads as internal output, so there is no vendor track record in this account yet. This is the suggested August allocation — confirm the 10x ROAS and Krave counts, then the grading loop starts.

Vendor · contextSuggested Aug ads% of pipelineAssignment
Internal Rebel Cheese CreativeThe proven engine: 90d blended 1.73x pixel on $524K; July's 30 launches ran 1.76x with 15 new winners. The 150 floor is the internal production bet — the mix percentages in this deck are its brief.
150 ADS
75%Full persona mix per Views 1–3 · all three moment kits
10x ROASSuggested commitment — confirm with the 10x team. First Rebel Cheese work, so August is about establishing the baseline: ship on the proven templates, adopt the naming convention, get graded Sep 1 on the two-lens standard (blended ROAS + new winners ≥$300 at ≥1.4x).
30 ADS
15%Proven static skeletons + taste-proof video · Foodie / Skeptic / Regular lanes
KraveSuggested commitment — confirm with the Krave team. The audition month on the newest concepts; narrow and template-backed. Graded Sep 1 alongside 10x; grades move September share.
20 ADS
10%Starter Kit launch + BYO Board + skeptic taste-tests
Σ August pipeline200 ads100%150 floor (internal) + 50 suggested vendor commits

How the loop starts

Convention first, grades second. Every vendor ad ships with a naming convention (e.g. 10X |, KRV |, INT | + launch-date prefix) so September's model can grade each vendor on the two-lens standard: 90d blended ROAS vs the 1.73x account benchmark and the launch cohort (ROAS + new winners ≥$300 spend at ≥1.4x). Grades move share: A earns more, B holds, C gets a narrow template-backed assignment and one month to convert.

Read with care

Account figures are in-platform pixel ROAS and read slightly higher than blended MER math. The 30 / 20 vendor counts are Rosewater's suggestion sized to the lanes that need outside capacity — not yet commitments.

Where to focus · This month

The eight moves that earn the mix.

The actionable layer — each move names a share, an angle, and an owner. Four of the eight come straight from Max's notebook.

SCALE · THE 150 FLOOR
Internal produces the floor; vendors stack on top
150 internal + 30 10x + 20 Krave ≈ 200 potential

The floor jumps from a 48/mo run-rate to 150 — a deliberate regime change, ~2.4x the best month ever (62 in May). Internal owns the floor; 10x ROAS and Krave commitments land on top. The mix percentages hold at any volume.

CONGRUENCE · AD → PDP
Every ad clicks to the product page for its set
per Max's notes · congruent ads → PDP, per set

No more winners dumped on the homepage: each ad routes to the product page of the exact set it shows — mozzarella ads to the mozzarella PDP, board ads to the board builder. Congruence is a free conversion-rate lever at 150-ad scale.

CLARITY · SAY VEGAN UP FRONT
Make it obvious it's vegan — not real cheese
qualifies the click · fuels the bigger Unaware share

Max's directive: stop letting cold viewers discover it's vegan on the PDP. Unaware share rises to 18% and every unaware-facing ad wears the label proudly — 'not real cheese' is the hook, not the fine print. Skeptics respect the honesty; the wrong clicks stay home.

ITERATE · SHARK TANK UVP
Rework the celebrity ads with a clearer value prop
$53K at 0.92x · the footage stays, the vagueness goes

Per Max: iterate, don't sunset. The Shark Tank asset gets re-cut around one sharp unique value proposition per version — award-winning cashew cheese, cultured like dairy, that fools cheese lovers — instead of generic celebrity authority. Question-hook re-cuts first (4.43x pattern).

REBALANCE · FORMAT
Statics to 58% of output
image family 1.82x vs video 1.35x

Every image dollar returned ~35% more than video over 90 days, and the August lanes are statics-native (product news, offers, boards). 87 statics + 10 carousels + 6 GIFs at the floor; video holds 31% with a higher hook bar.

NEW CONCEPTS · KIT + BOARD
Starter Kit + Build-Your-Own-Board
AOV histogram prices the kit · carousel-native board

Two concepts from Max's notes get built this month: a first-timer Starter Kit (bundle priced off the AOV histogram — run the histogram first) as the Dairy-Free Foodie on-ramp, and Build-Your-Own-Board as the Entertainer lane's interactive carousel.

ENGINE · MOMENT KITS
Three windows, three complete kits
Fromagier live · Send-Off assumed · Birthday re-brief

The Strawberry Fromagier drop is live — finish its kit (video, lineup carousel, 5.35x-pattern last-call). Summer Send-Off opens ~Aug 18 with Sizzle-style flavor heroes. Birthday relaunches small with the gifting frame; it must beat 1.3x to survive September.

CAST · WOMEN 45–65+
Casting default: the hosts of the table
55–64 F 1.88x · 65+ F = biggest cell at $101K

Women are ~78% of spend and every 35+ female cell beats 1.6x. Cast hosts, grandmothers, board-builders. The counter-test: 25–34 F runs 1.78x on 8% of spend — restart the dormant creator lane (1.92x) with the younger faces.

Methodology & Sources

How this model gets built.

The 150 floor was set by Max as an internal-production bet, with vendor commitments on top. The % splits come from Motion 90-day performance, Supermetrics 13-month ad-level history, the demographic casting read, and Max's notebook. Refreshed monthly; vendors graded from Sep 1.

August inputs
Output floor (set by Max)150 launched ads — internal production
Vendor commitments (suggested)10x ROAS 30 + Krave 20 — confirm counts
Moments / Evergreen25% / 75%
Static / Video (of output)58% / 31% + carousel 7% / GIF 4%
Unaware share18% — increased per Max · vegan-up-front creative
Persona lanes5 evergreen + 3 moment — data-derived (no research yet)
Trailing launches (Apr–Jul avg)48 / month · best month 62 (May)
90d Meta spend$524K · blended 1.71x Motion / 1.73x pixel
AOV histogramrequested — prices the Starter Kit + bundle ladder
August calendarpartially assumed — Fromagier live; Send-Off + Birthday dates TBC
Sources & basis
rebelcheese.com catalog checkartisan wheels/wedges/fromages · boards + boxes · Fromagier box · NOT a pizza/shreds brand
Max's notebook · 8/5congruent ads→PDP · AOV histogram · birthday + summer angles · Starter Kit · vegan clarity · Shark Tank UVP · BYO Board
Motion · 90d SPEND + glossarypersona / angle / format / seasonality ROAS
Motion · age × gendercasting read (women 78% of spend)
Supermetrics · 13-mo ad-levelvolume chart (unique ad names / month)
Supermetrics · 90d ad-levelperformance basis + July launch cohort
Micro-personas20 (4 per lane) — data-derived + brand positioning
Client persona researchNONE YET — lanes are data-derived
VOC / survey dataNONE YET — recommended next input
Vendor commitmentssuggested — confirm 10x + Krave counts
Companion Creative Plan150-row workbook — on request
Cadencemonthly · vendors graded from Sep 1

Flagged assumptions

Still open: (1) the Summer Send-Off and Birthday window dates (Fromagier is live; the rest of the calendar is assumed), (2) the 10x ROAS and Krave committed counts (30 / 20 are suggestions), (3) the persona lanes — data-derived pending client research and VOC, (4) the AOV histogram — requested; it prices the Starter Kit. Dietary copy guardrail: keep dairy-free/allergen language factual — no allergy-safety or health-outcome claims without a compliance pass.

The one thing to remember

These are proportions, not quotas. 150 is the floor, vendor work stacks on top, and the mix is the deliverable — whatever ships, hold the proportions, make every brief name its persona, and route every ad to the product page for its set. The companion Creative Plan workbook turns this into 150 named, briefed rows on request.

Rosewater Growth  |  Max Rosewater  ·  REBEL CHEESE · CREATIVE DEMAND MODEL · AUGUST 2026